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allen-p/_sent_mail/52. | ,
Lucy,
Here is a final 12/01 rentroll for you to save. My only questions are:
1. Neil Moreno in #21-he paid $120 on 11/24, but did not pay anything on
12/01. Even if he wants to swich to bi-weekly, he needs to pay at the
beginning
of the two week period. What is going on?
2. Gilbert in #27-is he just late?
Here is a file for 12/08. | 463 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/522. | Re: Listing of Desk Directors ,
Send it to Ina Rangel she can forward it to appropriate traders. There are
too many to list individually | 466 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/523. | ,
Jeff,
My target is to get $225 back out of the stage. Therefore, I could take a
sales price of $740K and carry a second note of $210K. This would still only
require $75K cash from the buyer. After broker fees and a title policy, I
would net around $20K cash.
You can go ahead and negotiate with the buyer and strike the deal at $740 or
higher with the terms described in the 1st email. Do you want to give the
New Braunfels buyer a quick look at the deal.
Phillip | 467 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/524. | ,
Jeff,
I am not willing to guarantee to refinance the 1st lien on the stage in 4
years and drop the rate on both notes at that point to 8%. There are several
reasons that I won't commit to this. Exposure to interest fluctuations, the
large cash reserves needed, and the limited financial resources of the buyer
are the three biggest concerns.
What I am willing to do is lower the second note to 8% amortized over the
buyers choice of terms up to 30 years. The existing note does not come due
until September 2009. That is a long time. The buyer may have sold the
property. Interest rates may be lower. I am bending over backwards to make
the deal work with such an attractive second note. Guaranteeing to refinance
is pushing too far.
Can you clarify the dates in the contract. Is the effective date the day the
earnest money is receipted or is it once the feasibility study is complete?
Hopefully the buyer can live with these terms. I got your fax from the New
Braunfels buyer. If we can't come to terms with the first buyer I will get
started on the list.
Email or call me later today.
Phillip | 468 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/525. | Re: Pipe Options Book Admin Role ,
Susan,
Raised your issue to Sally Beck. Larry is going to spend time with you to
see if he can live without any reports. Also some IT help should be on the
way.
Phillip | 469 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/528. | ,
Lucy,
Please fix #41 balance by deleting the $550 in the "Rent Due" column. The
other questions I had about last week's rent are:
#15 Only paid 95 of their 190 on 1/19 then paid nothing on 1/26. What is
going on?
#25 Looks like she was short by 35 and still owes a little on deposit
#27 Switched to weekly, but paid nothing this week. Why?
I spoke to Jeff Smith. I think he was surprised that we were set up with
email and MSN Messenger. He was not trying to insult you. I let Jeff know
that he should try and meet the prospective buyers when they come to see the
property. Occasionally, a buyer might stop buy without Jeff and you can show
them around and let them know what a nice quiet well maintained place it is.
Regarding the raise, $260/week plus the apartment is all I can pay right
now. I increased your pay last year very quickly so you could make ends meet
but I think your wages equate to $10/hr and that is fair. As Gary and Wade
continue to improve the property, I need you to try and improve the
property's tenants and reputation. The apartments are looking better and
better, yet the turnover seems to be increasing.
Remember that as a manager you need to set the example for the tenants. It
is hard to tell tenants that they are not supposed to have extra people move
in that are not on the lease, when the manager has a houseful of guests. I
realize you have had a lot of issues with taking your son to the doctor and
your daughter being a teenager, but you need to put in 40 hours and be
working in the office or on the property during office unless you are running
an errand for the property.
I am not upset that you asked for a raise, but the answer is no at this
time. We can look at again later in the year.
I will talk to you later or you can email or call over the weekend.
Phillip | 472 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/531. | ,
Susan hours are out of hand. We need to find a solution. Let's meet on
Monday to assess the issue
Phillip | 476 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/532. | RE: Phillip Allen Response on Partnership Issues ,
Got your email. I will let Jacques know. I guess we can work out the finer
points next week. The bank here in Houston is dealing with their auditors
this week, so unfortunately I did not hear from them this week. The are
promising to have some feedback by Monday. I will let you know as soon as I
hear from them.
Phillip | 477 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/533. | ,
George,
The probability of building a house this year is increasing. I have shifted
to a slightly different plan. There were too many design items that I could
not work out in the plan we discussed previously. Now, I am leaning more
towards a plan with two wings and a covered courtyard in the center. One
wing would have a living/dining kitchen plus master bedroom downstairs with 3
kid bedrooms + a laundry room upstairs. The other wing would have a garage +
guestroom downstairs with a game room + office/exercise room upstairs. This
plan still has the same number of rooms as the other plan but with the
courtyard and pool in the center this plan should promote more outdoor
living. I am planning to orient the house so that the garage faces the west.
The center courtyard would be covered with a metal roof with some fiberglass
skylights supported by metal posts. I am envisioning the two wings to have
single slope roofs that are not connected to the center building.
I don't know if you can imagine the house I am trying to describe. I would
like to come and visit you again this month. If it would work for you, I
would like to drive up on Sunday afternoon on Feb. 18 around 2 or 3 pm. I
would like to see the progress on the house we looked at and tour the one we
didn't have time for. I can bring more detailed drawings of my new plan.
Call or email to let me know if this would work for you.
[email protected] or 713-463-8626(home), 713-853-7041(work)
Phillip Allen
PS. Channel 2 in Houston ran a story yesterday (Feb. 2) about a home in
Kingwood that had a poisonous strain of mold growing in the walls. You
should try their website or call the station to get the full story. It would
makes a good case for breathable walls. | 478 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/534. | Re: web site ,
8500????? That's twice as valuable as your car! Can't you get a used one
for $3000? | 479 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/535. | Re: web site ,
Nice. how much?
Are you trying to keep the economy going? | 480 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/537. | Re: The Stage ,
Jeff,
Before you write off the stage, a few things to think about.
1. Operating expenses include $22,000 of materials for maintenance and
repairs. Plus having a full time onsite maintenance man means no extra labor
cost for repairs. There are only 44 units a lot of his time is spent on
repairs.
2. What is an outside management firm going to do? A full time onsite
manager is all that is required. As I mentioned the prior manager has
interest in returning. Another alternative would be to hire a male manager
that could do more make readies and lawn care. If you turn it over to a
management company you could surely reduce the cost of a full time manager
onsite.
3. Considering #1 & #2 $115,000 NOI is not necessarily overstated. If you
want to be ultra conservative use $100,000 at the lowest.
4. Getting cash out is not a priority to me. So I am willing to structure
this deal with minimum cash. A 10% note actually attractive. See below.
My job just doesn't give me the time to manage this property. This property
definitely requires some time but it has the return to justify the effort.
Sales Price 705,000
1st Lien 473,500
2nd Lien 225,000
Transfer fee 7,500
Cash required 14,500
NOI 100,000
1st Lien 47,292
2nd Lien 23,694
Cash flow 29,014
Cash on cash 200%
These numbers are using the conservative NOI, if it comes in at $115K then
cash on cash return would be more like 300%. This doesn't reflect the
additional profit opportunity of selling the property in the next few years
for a higher price.
Do you want to reconsider? Let me know.
Phillip | 482 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/539. | ,
Lucy,
What is the latest? Write me a note about what is going on and what issues
you need my help to deal with when you send the rentroll.
Phillip | 484 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/541. | Re: Bishops Corner Partnership ,
George,
Keith and I are reviewing your proposal. We will send you a response by this
evening.
Phillip | 487 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/543. | Re: 32 acres ,
Jeff,
That is good news about Leander.
Now for the stage. I would like to get it sold by the end of March. I have
about $225K invested in the stagecoach,
it looks like I need to get around $745K to breakeven.
I don't need the cash out right now so if I could get a personal guarantee
and Jaques Craig can
work out the partnership transfer, I would definitely be willing to carry a
second lien. I understand second liens are going for 10%-12%.
Checkout this spreadsheet.
These numbers should get the place sold in the next fifteen minutes.
However, I am very concerned about the way it is being shown. Having Lucy
show it is not a good idea. I need you to meet the buyers and take some
trips over to get more familar with the property. My dad doesn't have the
time and I don't trust
Lucy or Wade to show it correctly. I would prefer for you to show it from
now on.
I will have the operating statements complete through December by this
Friday.
Phillip | 489 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/545. | RE: Loan for San Marcos ,
George,
We should hear from the bank in Houston on Monday.
The best numbers and times to reach me:
work 713-853-7041
fax 713-464-2391
cell 713-410-4679
home 713-463-8626
[email protected] (home)
[email protected] (work)
I am usually at work M-F 7am-5:30pm. Otherwise try me at home then on my
cell.
Keiths numbers are:
work 713-853-7069
fax 713-464-2391
cell 713-502-9402
home 713-667-5889
[email protected]
Phillip | 491 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/546. | Re: NGI access to eol ,
Dexter,
You should receive a guest id shortly.
Phillip | 492 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/55. | Re: Associates & Analysts Eligible for Promotion ,
I would support Matt Lenhart's promotion to the next level.
I would oppose Ken Shulklapper's promotion. | 496 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/550. | Re: Resume ,
Nick,
There is a specific program that we are using to recruit, train, and mentor
new traders on the gas and power desks. The trading track program is being
coordinated by Ted Bland. I have forwarded him your resume. Give him a call
and he will fill you in on the details of the program.
Phillip | 497 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/552. | ,
Lucy,
#32 and #29 are fine.
#28 paid weekly on 1/5. Then he switched to biweekly. He should have paid
260 on 1/12. Two weeks rent in advance. Instead he paid 260 on 1/19. He
either needs to get back on schedule or let him know he is paying in the
middle of his two weeks. He is only paid one week in advance. This is not a
big deal, but you should be clear with tenants that rent is due in advance.
Here is an updated rentroll. Please use this one instead of the one I sent
you this morning.
Finally, can you fax me the application and lease from #9.
Phillip | 499 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/554. | ,
Lucy,
Here is a rentroll for this week. I still have questions on #28,#29, and #32. | 501 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/555. | ,
Larry,
I met with a banker that is interested in financing the project. They need
the following:
Financial statements plus last two years tax returns.
Builders resume listing similar projects
The banker indicated he could pull together a proposal by Friday. If we are
interested in his loan, he would want to come see the site.
If you want to overnight me the documents, I will pass them along. You can
send them to my home or office (1400 Smith, EB3210B, Houston, TX 77002).
The broker is Jim Murnan. His number is 713-781-5810, if you want to call
him and send the documents to him directly.
It sounds like the attorneys are drafting the framework of the partnership
agreement. I would like to nail down the outstanding business points as soon
as possible.
Please email or call with an update.
Phillip | 502 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/557. | ,
By STEVE EVERLY - The Kansas City Star
Date: 01/20/01 22:15
As natural gas prices rose in December, traders at the New York Mercantile
Exchange kept one eye on the weather forecast and another on a weekly gas
storage number.
The storage figures showed utilities withdrawing huge amounts of gas, and the
forecast was for frigid weather. Traders put the two together, anticipated a
supply crunch and drove gas prices to record heights.
"Traders do that all the time; they're looking forward," said William Burson,
a trader. "It makes the market for natural gas."
But the market's response perplexed Chris McGill, the American Gas
Association's director of gas supply and transportation. He had compiled the
storage numbers since they were first published in 1994, and in his view the
numbers were being misinterpreted to show a situation far bleaker than
reality.
"It's a little frustrating that they don't take the time to understand what
we are reporting," McGill said.
As consumer outrage builds over high heating bills, the hunt for reasons --
and culprits -- is on. Some within the natural gas industry are pointing
fingers at Wall Street.
Stephen Adik, senior vice president of the Indiana utility NiSource, recently
stepped before an industry conference and blamed the market's speculators for
the rise in gas prices.
"It's my firm belief ... that today's gas prices are being manipulated," Adik
told the trade magazine Public Utilities Fortnightly.
In California, where natural gas spikes have contributed to an electric
utility crisis, six investigations are looking into the power industry.
Closer to home, observers note that utilities and regulators share the blame
for this winter's startling gas bills, having failed to protect their
customers and constituents from such price spikes.
Most utilities, often with the acquiescence of regulators, failed to take
precautions such as fixed-rate contracts and hedging -- a sort of price
insurance -- that could have protected their customers by locking in gas
prices before they soared.
"We're passing on our gas costs, which we have no control over," said Paul
Snider, a spokesman for Missouri Gas Energy.
But critics say the utilities shirked their responsibility to customers.
"There's been a failure of risk management by utilities, and that needs to
change," said Ed Krapels, director of gas power services for Energy Security
Analysis Inc., an energy consulting firm in Wakefield, Mass.
Hot topic
Consumers know one thing for certain: Their heating bills are up sharply. In
many circles, little else is discussed.
The Rev. Vincent Fraser of Glad Tidings Assembly of God in Kansas City is
facing a $1,456 December bill for heating the church -- more than double the
previous December's bill. Church members are suffering from higher bills as
well.
The Sunday collection is down, said Fraser, who might have to forgo part of
his salary. For the first time, the church is unable to meet its financial
pledge to overseas missionaries because the money is going to heating.
"It's the talk of the town here," he said.
A year ago that wasn't a fear. Wholesale gas prices hovered just above $2 per
thousand cubic feet -- a level that producers say didn't make it worthwhile
to drill for gas. Utilities were even cutting the gas prices paid by
customers.
But trouble was brewing. By spring, gas prices were hitting $4 per thousand
cubic feet, just as utilities were beginning to buy gas to put into storage
for winter.
There was a dip in the fall, but then prices rebounded. By early November,
prices were at $5 per thousand cubic feet. The federal Energy Information
Administration was predicting sufficient but tight gas supplies and heating
bills that would be 30 percent to 40 percent higher.
But $10 gas was coming. Below-normal temperatures hit much of the country,
including the Kansas City area, and fears about tight supplies roiled the gas
markets.
"It's all about the weather," said Krapels of Energy Security Analysis.
Wholesale prices exploded to $10 per thousand cubic feet, led by the New York
traders. Natural gas sealed its reputation as the most price-volatile
commodity in the world.
Setting the price
In the 1980s, the federal government took the caps off the wellhead price of
gas, allowing it to float. In 1990, the New York Mercantile began trading
contracts for future delivery of natural gas, and that market soon had
widespread influence over gas prices.
The futures contracts are bought and sold for delivery of natural gas as soon
as next month or as far ahead as three years. Suppliers can lock in sale
prices for the gas they expect to produce. And big gas consumers, from
utilities to companies such as Farmland Industries Inc., can lock in what
they pay for the gas they expect to use.
There are also speculators who trade the futures contracts with no intention
of actually buying or selling the gas -- and often with little real knowledge
of natural gas.
But if they get on the right side of a price trend, traders don't need to
know much about gas -- or whatever commodity they're trading. Like all
futures, the gas contracts are purchased on credit. That leverage adds to
their volatility and to the traders' ability to make or lose a lot of money
in a short time.
As December began, the price of natural gas on the futures market was less
than $7 per thousand cubic feet. By the end of the month it was nearly $10.
Much of the spark for the rally came from the American Gas Association's
weekly storage numbers.
Utilities buy ahead and store as much as 50 percent of the gas they expect to
need in the winter.
Going into the winter, the storage levels were about 5 percent less than
average, in part because some utilities were holding off on purchasing, in
hopes that the summer's unusually high $4 to $5 prices would drop.
Still, the American Gas Association offered assurances that supplies would be
sufficient. But when below-normal temperatures arrived in November, the
concerns increased among traders that supplies could be insufficient.
Then the American Gas Association reported the lowest year-end storage
numbers since they were first published in 1994. Still, said the
association's McGill, there was sufficient gas in storage.
But some utility executives didn't share that view. William Eliason, vice
president of Kansas Gas Service, said that if December's cold snap had
continued into January, there could have been a real problem meeting demand.
"I was getting worried," he said.
Then suddenly the market turned when January's weather turned warmer.
Wednesday's storage numbers were better than expected, and futures prices
dropped more than $1 per thousand cubic feet.
Just passing through
Some utilities said there was little else to do about the price increase but
pass their fuel costs on to customers.
Among area utilities, Kansas Gas Service increased its customers' cost-of-gas
charge earlier this month to $8.68 per thousand cubic feet. And Missouri Gas
Energy has requested an increase to $9.81, to begin Wednesday.
Sheila Lumpe, chairwoman of the Missouri Public Service Commission, said last
month that because utilities passed along their wholesale costs, little could
be done besides urging consumers to join a level-payment plan and to conserve
energy.
Kansas Gas Service had a small hedging program in place, which is expected to
save an average customer about $25 this winter.
Missouri Gas Energy has no hedging program. It waited until fall to seek an
extension of the program and then decided to pass when regulators would not
guarantee that it could recover its hedging costs.
Now utilities are being asked to justify the decisions that have left
customers with such high gas bills. And regulators are being asked whether
they should abandon the practice of letting utilities pass along their fuel
costs.
On Friday, Doug Micheel, senior counsel of the Missouri Office of the Public
Counsel, said his office would ask the Missouri Public Service Commission to
perform an emergency audit of Missouri Gas Energy's gas purchasing practices.
"Consumers are taking all the risk," Micheel said. "It's time to consider
some changes."
To reach Steve Everly, call (816) 234-4455 or send e-mail to
[email protected].
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--
All content , 2001 The Kansas City Star | 504 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/558. | Re: Please respond ,
message board | 505 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/559. | Re: Please respond ,
need help. | 506 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/56. | Re: Court Ordered Notice to Customers and Registered Users of ,
please remove my name and information from the registered user list. Do not
sell my information.
Phillip Allen | 507 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/561. | ,
Larry,
The wire should go out today. I am in Portland but can be reached by cell
phone 713-410-4679. Call me if there are any issues. I will place a call to
my attorney to check on the loan agreement.
Phillip | 509 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/562. | ,
Lucy,
Why did so many tenants not pay this week?
#12 95
#21 240
#27 120
#28 260
#33 260
Total 975
It seems these apartments just missed rent. What is up?
Other questions:
#9-Why didn't they pay anything? By my records, they still owe $40 plus rent
should have been due on 12/12 of $220.
#3-Why did they short pay? | 510 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/565. | Re: ,
Kristin,
Thank you for the California update. Please continue to include me in all
further intellegence reports regarding the situation in California.
Phillip | 513 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/566. | Re: Analyst Rotating ,
Andrea,
Please resend the first three resumes.
Phillip | 514 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/569. | ,
Jim,
Here are the key gas contacts.
Work Home Cell
Phillip Allen X37041 713-463-8626 713-410-4679
Mike Grigsby X37031 713-780-1022 713-408-6256
Keith Holst X37069 713-667-5889 713-502-9402
Please call me with any significant developments.
Phillip | 517 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/57. | Headcount ,
Financial (6)
West Desk (14)
Mid Market (16) | 518 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/571. | updated lease information ,
Lucy,
The apartments that have new tenants since December 15th are:
1,2,8,12,13,16,20a,20b,25,32,38,39.
Are we running an apartment complex or a motel?
Please update all lease information on the 1/12 rentroll and email it to me
this afternoon.
Phillip | 519 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/572. | Re: Wiring instructions ,
Larry,
Do you want the loan and wire amount to be for exactly $1.1 million.
Phillip | 520 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/573. | Re: Analyst PRC ,
Thanks for representing Matt.
Phillip | 521 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/574. | Re: SM134 ,
George,
Here is a spreadsheet that illustrates the payout of investment and builders
profit. Check my math, but it looks like all the builders profit would be
recouped in the first year of operation. At permanent financing $1.1 would
be paid, leaving only .3 to pay out in the 1st year.
Since almost 80% of builders profit is repaid at the same time as the
investment, I feel the 65/35 is a fair split. However, as I mentioned
earlier, I think we should negotiate to layer on additional equity to you as
part of the construction contract.
Just to begin the brainstorming on what a construction agreement might look
like here are a few ideas:
1. Fixed construction profit of $1.4 million. Builder doesn't benefit from
higher cost, rather suffers as an equity holder.
2. +5% equity for meeting time and costs in original plan ($51/sq ft, phase
1 complete in November)
+5% equity for under budget and ahead of schedule
-5% equity for over budget and behind schedule
This way if things go according to plan the final split would be 60/40, but
could be as favorable as 55/45. I realize that what is budget and schedule
must be discussed and agreed upon.
Feel free to call me at home (713)463-8626
Phillip | 522 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/575. | ,
Lucy,
Here is a schedule of the most recent utility bills and the overages. There
are alot of overages. It will probably get worse this month because of all
the cold weather.
You need to be very clear with all new tenants about the electricity cap.
This needs to be handwritten on all new leases.
I am going to fax you copies of the bills that support this spreadsheet. We
also need to write a short letter remind everyone about the cap and the need
to conserve energy if they don't want to exceed their cap. I will write
something today.
Wait until you have copies of the bills and the letter before you start
collecting.
Phillip | 523 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/576. | ,
We do not understand our VAR. Can you please get us all the detailed reports
and component VAR reports that you can produce?
The sooner the better.
Phillip | 524 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/577. | Re: Needs Assessment Form ,
Ted,
Andrea in the analysts pool asked me to fill out this request. Can you help
expedite this process?
Phillip | 525 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/578. | ,
Frank,
Did you receive the information about the San Marcos apartments. I have left
several messages at your office to follow up. You mentioned that your plate
was fairly full. Are you too busy to look at this project? As I mentioned I
would be interested in speaking to you as an advisor or at least a sounding
board for the key issues.
Please email or call.
Phillip Allen
[email protected]
713-853-7041 | 526 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/579. | ,
Questions about 12/29 rentroll:
There were two deposits that were not labeled. One for $150 and the other
for $75. Which apartments? 20a or #13?
Utility overages for #26 and #44? Where did you get these amounts? For
what periods?
What is going on with #42. Do not evict this tenant for being unclean!!!
That will just create an apartment that we will have to spend a lot of money
and time remodeling. I would rather try and deal with this tenant by first
asking them to clean their apartment and fixing anything that is wrong like
leaky pipes. If that doesn't work, we should tell them we will clean the
apartment and charge them for the labor. Then we will perform monthly
inspections to ensure they are not damaging the property. This tenant has
been here since September 1998, I don't want to run them off.
I check with the bank and I did not see that a deposit was made on Tuesday so
I couldn't check the total from the rentroll against the bank. Is this
right? Has the deposit been made yet?
A rentroll for Jan 5th will follow shortly.
Phillip | 527 |
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allen-p/_sent_mail/58. | Re: Transportation Reports ,
it is ok with me. | 528 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/580. | Re: Untitled.exe Untitled.exe [22/23] ,
cannot open this file. Please send in different format | 529 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/581. | Re: SM134 Balcones Bank Loan ,
I can't open a winmail.dat file. can you send in a different format | 530 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/584. | ,
Trading Profits
P. Allen 200
M. Grigsby 463
Rest of Desk 282
Total 945
I view my bonus as partly attributable to my own trading and partly to the
group's performance. Here are my thoughts.
Minimum Market Maximum
Cash 2 MM 4 MM 6 MM
Equity 2 MM 4 MM 6 MM
Here are Mike's numbers. I have not made any adjustments to them.
Minimum Market Maximum
Cash 2 MM 3 MM 4 MM
Equity 4 MM 7 MM 12 MM
I have given him an "expectations" speech, but you might do the same at some
point.
Phillip | 533 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/586. | ,
Gentlemen,
I continue to speak to an attorney for help with the investment structure
and a mortgage broker for help with the financing. Regarding the financing,
I am working with Jim Murnan at Pinnacle Mortgage here in Houston. I have
sent him some information on the project, but he needs financial information
on you. Can you please send it to him. His contact information is: phone
(713)781-5810, fax (713)781-6614, and email [email protected].
I know Larry has been working with a bank and they need my information. I
hope to pull that together this afternoon.
I took the liberty of calling Thomas Reames from the Frog Pond document. He
was positive about his experience overall. He did not seem pleased with the
bookkeeping or information flow to the investor. I think we should discuss
these procedures in advance.
Let's continue to speak or email frequently as new developments occur.
Phillip | 535 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/587. | ,
Jim,
I would appreciate your help in locating financing for the project I
described to you last week. The project is a 134 unit apartment complex in
San Marcos. There will be a builder/developer plus myself and possibly a
couple of other investors involved. As I mentioned last week, I would like
to find interim financing (land, construction, semi-perm) that does not
require the investors to personally guarantee. If there is a creative way to
structure the deal, I would like to hear your suggestions. One idea that has
been mentioned is to obtain a "forward commitment" in order to reduce the
equity required. I would also appreciate hearing from you how deals of this
nature are normally financed. Specifically, the transition from interim to
permanent financing. I could use a quick lesson in what numbers will be
important to banks.
I am faxing you a project summary. And I will have the builder/developer
email or fax his financial statement to you.
Let me know what else you need. The land is scheduled to close mid January.
Phillip Allen | 536 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/588. | ,
Jeff,
Everything should be done for closing on the Leander deal on the 29th. I
have fed ex'd the closing statements and set up a wire transfer to go out
tomorrow. When will more money be required? Escrow for roads? Utility
connections? Other rezoning costs?
What about property taxes? The burnet land lost its ag exemption while I
owned it. Are there steps we can take to hold on to the exemption on this
property? Can you explain the risks and likelihood of any rollback taxes
once the property is rezoned? Do we need to find a farmer and give him
grazing rights?
What are the important dates coming up and general status of rezoning and
annexing? I am worried about the whole country slipping into a recession and
American Multifamily walking on this deal. So I just want to make sure we
are pushing the process as fast as we can.
Phillip | 537 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/589. | ,
Steve,
I am sending you a variety of charts with prices and operational detail. If
you need to call with questions my home number is 713-463-8626.
As far as recommendations, here is a short list:
1. Examine LDC's incentive rate program. Current methodology rewards sales
above monthly index without enough consideration of future
replacement cost. The result is that the LDC's sell gas that should be
injected into storage when daily prices run above the monthly index.
This creates a shortage in later months.
2. California has the storage capacity and pipeline capacity to meet
demand. Investigate why it wasn't maximized operationally.
Specific questions should include:
1. Why in March '00-May '00 weren't total system receipts higher in order
to fill storage?
2. Why are there so many examples of OFO's on weekends that push away too
much gas from Socal's system.
I believe Socal gas does an extremely poor job of forecasting their
own demand. They repeatedly estimated they would receive more gas than
their injection capablity, but injected far less.
3. Similar to the power market, there is too much benchmarking to short
term prices. Not enough forward hedging is done by the major
LDCs. By design the customers are short at a floating
rate. This market has been long historically. It has been a buyers market
and the
consumer has benefitted.
Call me if you need any more input.
Phillip | 538 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/59. | ,
Lucy,
Here is a rentroll for this week. The one you sent for 11/24 looked good.
It seems like most people are paying on time. Did you rent an efficiency to
the elderly woman on a fixed income? Go ahead a use your judgement on the
rent prices for the vacant units. If you need to lower the rent by $10 or
$20 to get things full, go ahead.
I will be out of the office on Thursday. I will talk to you on Friday.
Phillip | 539 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/590. | Re: Global Ids ,
Monique Sanchez
Jay Reitmeyer
Randy Gay
Matt Lenhart | 540 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/591. | ,
John,
Here is our North of Stanfield forecast for Jan.
Supply Jan '01 Dec '00 Jan '00
Sumas 900 910 815
Jackson Pr. 125 33 223
Roosevelt 300 298 333
Total Supply 1325 1241 1371
Demand
North of Chehalis 675 665 665
South of Chehalis 650 575 706
Total Demand 1325 1240 1371
Roosevelt capacity is 495.
Let me know how your forecast differs.
Phillip | 541 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/592. | Re: Global Ids ,
Please assign global id's to the four junior traders listed on Dawn's
original email. The are all trading and need to have unique id's.
Thank you | 542 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/593. | RE: access ,
Received the fax. Thank you. I might have to sell the QQQ and take the loss
for taxes. But I would roll right into a basket of individual technology
stocks. I think I mentioned this to you previously that I have decided to
use this account for the kids college. | 543 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/594. | RE: access ,
Fax number 713-646-2391 | 544 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/595. | Re: Your Approval is Overdue: Access Request for ,
PLEASE APPROVE HIM FOR THIS. PHILLIP WILL NOT BE ABLE TO GET INTO HIS EMAIL
SYSTEM TO DO THIS.
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, OR PROBLEMS, PLEASE CALL ME AT X3-7257.
THANK YOU.
INA.
IF THIS IS A PROBLEM TO DO IT THIS WAY PLEASE CALL ME AND I WILL WALK PHILLIP
THROUGH THE STEPS TO APPROVE. IF YOU CALL HIM, HE WILL DIRECT IT TO ME
ANYWAY.
[email protected] on 12/18/2000 07:07:04 PM
To: [email protected]
cc:
Subject: Your Approval is Overdue: Access Request for [email protected]
This request has been pending your approval for 5 days. Please click
http://itcapps.corp.enron.com/srrs/auth/emailLink.asp?ID=000000000009659&Page=
Approval to review and act upon this request.
Request ID : 000000000009659
Request Create Date : 12/8/00 8:23:47 AM
Requested For : [email protected]
Resource Name : VPN
Resource Type : Applications | 545 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/596. | Re: SM134 Proforma.xls ,
George & Larry,
If possible, I would like to get together in Columbus as Larry suggested.
Thursday afternoon is the only day that really works for me.
Let me know if that would work for you. I was thinking around 2 or 2:30 pm.
I will try to email you any questions I have from the latest proforma
tomorrow.
Phillip | 546 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/597. | ,
Jeff,
Hear is a new NOI file. I have added an operating statement for 1999
(partial year).
I will try to email you some photos soon.
Phillip | 547 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/598. | ,
Jeff,
The files attached contain a current rentroll, 2000 operating statement, and
a proforma operating statement. | 548 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/599. | Re: ,
Yes. Trading reports to Whalley. He is Lavorato's boss. | 549 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/600. | Re: Call saturday ,
Larry,
10 AM tomorrow is good for me. If you want to email me anything tonight,
please use [email protected].
Phillip | 552 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/601. | ,
Lucy,
I want to get the lease data and tenant data updated.
The critical information is 1. Move in or lease start date
2. Lease expiration date
3. Rent
4. Deposit
If you have the info you can
fill in these items 1. Number of occupants
2. Workplace
All the new leases should be the long form.
The apartments that have new tenants since these columns have been updated
back in October are #3,5,9,11,12,17,21,22,23,25,28,33,38.
I really need to get this by tomorrow. Please use the rentroll_1215 file to
input the correct information on all these tenants. And email it to me
tomorrow. You should have all this information on their leases and
applications.
Phillip | 553 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/602. | ,
Lucy,
Here is a new file for 12/15.
For the rentroll for 12/08 here are my questions:
#23 & #24 did not pay. Just late or moving?
#25 & #33 Both paid 130 on 12/01 and $0 on 12/08. What is the deal?
#11 Looks like she is caught up. When is she due again?
Please email the answers.
Phillip | 554 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/604. | Re: ,
Yes you can use this chart. Does it make sense? | 556 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/62. | Re: Nortel box ,
How about 3:30 | 559 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/63. | Re: SM134 Proforma.xls ,
George,
I received the drawings. They look good at first glance. I will look at
them in depth this weekend. The proforma was in the winmail.dat format which
I cannot open. Please resend in excel or a pdf format. If you will send it
to [email protected], I will be able to look at it this weekend. Does
this file have a timeline for the investment dollars? I just want to get a
feel for when you will start needing money.
Phillip | 560 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/64. | Re: West Gas Trading 2001 Plan ,
Paula,
I looked over the plan. It looks fine.
Phillip | 561 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/68. | Re: San Marcos Study ,
George,
The other files opened fine, but I can't open winmail.dat files. Can you
resend this one in a pdf format.?
Thanks,
Phillip | 565 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/69. | ,
Phillip, How are you today I am very busy but I have to let you know that #37
I.Knockum is pd up untill 11/17/00 because on 10/26/00 she pd 250.00 so i
counted and tat pays her up untill 10/26/ or did i count wrong?
Lucy says:
she pays 125.00 a week but she'sgoing on vacation so thjat is why she pd more
Lucy says:
I have all the deposit ready but she isn't due on this roll I just wanted to
tell you because you might think she didn't pay or something
Lucy says:
the amnt is:4678.00 I rented #23 aand #31 may be gone tonight I have been
putting in some overtime trying to rent something out i didnt leave last
night untill 7:00 and i have to wait for someone tonight that works late.
phillip says:
send me the rentroll when you can
phillip says:
Did I tell you that I am going to try and be there this Fri & Sat
Lucy says:
no you didn't tell me that you were going to be here but wade told me this
morning I sent you the roll did you get it? Did you need me here this weekend
because I have a sweet,sixteen I'm getting ready for and if you need me here
Sat,then I will get alot done before then.
phillip says:
We can talk on Friday
Lucy says:
okay see ya later bye.
Lucy says:
I sent you the roll did you get it ?
phillip says:
yes thank you
The following message could not be delivered to all recipients:
yes thank you | 566 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/71. | Re: Resumes ,
George,
Just a note to check in. Are there any new developments?
Phillip | 569 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/72. | Re: West Gas 2001 Plan ,
Faith,
Regarding the 2001 plan, the members of the west desk are as follows:
Name Title
Trading
Phillip Allen VP
Mike Grigsby Director
Keith Holst Manager(possible Director)
Janie Tholt Director
Steve South Director
Frank Ermis Manager
Tori Kuykendall Manager
Matt Lenhart Analyst(possible associate)
Monique Sanchez Commercial Support Manager
Jay Reitmeyer Senior Specialist
Ina Rangel Assistant (split costs with middle market)
Marketing
Barry Tycholiz Director
Mark Whitt Director
Paul Lucci Manager (possible Director)
2-3 TBD
Do I need to give you the names of our operations group?
Special Pays- I believe Mike Grigsby has a retention payment due this year.
Also we should budget for another $150,000 of special payments.
I know you have been working with Barry T. if his headcount is different on
the Marketing staff use his numbers. Let me know if there is anything else
you need.
Phillip | 570 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/735. | Re: You Game? ,
raincheck? | 572 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/753. | Re: Pick your Poison? ,
No can do.
Are you in the zone? | 575 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/76. | Re: Resumes ,
George,
Your attachment is not opening on my computer. Can you put the info in
Word instead?
Thanks,
Phillip | 576 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/78. | Re: Inquiry.... ,
Put me down as a reviewer | 578 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/79. | Re: Inquiry.... ,
can you fill it in yourself? I will sign it. | 579 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/81. | Re: Approval for Plasma Screens ,
Bob,
Activate Plan B. No money from John.
Wish I had better news.
Phillip | 582 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/82. | ,
Dave,
The back office is having a hard time dealing with the $11 million dollars
that is to be recognized as transport expense by the west desk then recouped
from the Office of the Chairman. Is your understanding that the West desk
will receive origination each month based on the schedule below.
The Office of the Chairman agrees to grant origination to the Denver desk as
follows:
October 2000 $1,395,000
November 2000 $1,350,000
December 2000 $1,395,000
January 2001 $ 669,600
February 2001 $ 604,800
March 2001 $ 669,600
April 2001 $ 648,000
May 2001 $ 669,600
June 2001 $ 648,000
July 2001 $ 669,600
August 2001 $ 669,600
September 2001 $ 648,000
October 2001 $ 669,600
November 2001 $ 648,000
December 2001 $ 669,600
This schedule represents a demand charge payable to NBP Energy Pipelines by
the Denver desk. The demand charge is $.18/MMBtu on 250,000 MMBtu/Day
(Oct-00 thru Dec-00) and 120,000 MMBtu/Day (Jan-01 thru Dec-01). The ENA
Office of the Chairman has agreed to reimburse the west desk for this expense.
Let me know if you disagree.
Phillip | 583 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/83. | Re: Astral downtime request ,
Steve,
Thank you for the update. The need is still great for this disk space.
Phillip | 584 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/84. | Re: Approval for Plasma Screens ,
Bob,
I spoke to Jeff. He said he would not pay anything. I am waiting for John to
be in a good mood to ask. What is plan B?
Phillip | 585 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/88. | ,
We linked the file you sent us to telerate and we replace >40000 equals $250
to a 41.67 heat rate. We applied forward gas prices to historical loads. I
guess this gives us a picture of a low load year and a normal load year.
Prices seem low. Looks like November NP15 is trading above the cap based on
Nov 99 loads and current gas prices. What about a forecast for this November
loads.
Let me know what you think.
Phillip | 589 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/89. | Re: password ,
Dexter,
I spoke to our EOL support group and requested a guest id for
you. Did you receive an email with a login and password yesterday?
If not, call me and I will find out why not.
Phillip
713-853-7041 | 590 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/90. | ,
George,
The San Marcos project is sounding very attractive. I have one other
investor in addition to Keith that has interest. Some additional background
information on Larry and yourself would be helpful.
Background Questions:
Please provide a brief personal history of the two principals involved in
Creekside.
Please list projects completed during the last 5 years. Include the project
description, investors, business entity,
Please provide the names and numbers of prior investors.
Please provide the names and numbers of several subcontractors used on
recent projects.
With regard to the proposed investment structure, I would suggest a couple
of changes to better align the risk/reward profile between Creekside and the
investors.
Preferable Investment Structure:
Developers guarantee note, not investors.
Preferred rate of return (10%) must be achieved before any profit sharing.
Builder assumes some risk for cost overruns.
Since this project appears so promising, it seems like we should
tackle these issues now. These questions are not intended to be offensive in
any way. It is my desire to build a successful project with Creekside that
leads to future opportunities. I am happy to provide you with any
information that you need to evaluate myself or Keith as a business partner.
Sincerely,
Phillip Allen | 592 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/91. | ,
Bob,
Patti Sullivan held together the scheduling group for two months while Randy
Gay was on a personal leave. She displayed a tremendous amount of commitment
to the west desk during that time. She frequently came to work before 4 AM
to prepare operations reports. Patti worked 7 days a week during this time.
If long hours were not enough, there was a pipeline explosion during this
time which put extra volatility into the market and extra pressure on Patti.
She didn't crack and provided much needed info during this time.
Patti is performing the duties of a manager but being paid as a sr.
specialist. Based on her heroic efforts, she deserves a PBR. Let me know
what is an acceptable cash amount.
Phillip | 593 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/92. | Re: ,
Andy,
Please assign a user name to Randy Gay.
Thank you,
Phillip | 594 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/93. | ,
Andy,
I spoke to John L. and he ok'd one of each new electronic system for the
west desk. Are there any operational besides ICE and Dynegy? If not, can
you have your assistant call me with id's and passwords.
Thank you,
Phillip | 595 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/95. | ,
Bob,
Regarding Patti Sullivan's contributions to the west desk this year, her
efforts deserve recognition and a PBR award. Patti stepped up to fill the
gap left by Randy Gay's personal leave. Patti held together the scheduling
group for about 2 month's by working 7days a week during this time. Patti
was always the first one in the office during this time. Frequently, she
would be at work before 4 AM to prepare the daily operation package. All the
traders came to depend on the information Patti provided. This information
has been extremely critical this year due to the pipeline explosion and size
of the west desk positions.
Please call to discuss cash award.
Phillip | 597 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/96. | Re: Enron ,
Richard,
Are you available at 5:30 ET today?
Phillip | 598 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/97. | Enron ,
Jed,
I understand you have been contacted regarding a telephone interview to
discuss trading opportunities at Enron. I am sending you this message to
schedule the interview. Please call or email me with a time that would be
convenient for you. I look forward to speaking with you.
Phillip Allen
West Gas Trading
[email protected]
713-853-7041 | 599 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/98. | ,
Lucy,
Here are the actual utility bills versus the cap. Did we collect
these overages? Let's discuss further? Remember these bills were paid in
July and August. The usage dates are much earlier. I have the bills but I
can get them to you if need be.
Philip | 600 |
||
allen-p/_sent_mail/99. | Re: EOL Screens in new Body Shop ,
Bob,
Any time tomorrow between 10 am and 1 pm would be good for looking at the
plans. As far as the TV's, what do you need me to do? Do we need plasma
screens or would regular monitors be just as good at a fraction of the cost.
Phillip | 601 |
||
allen-p/all_documents/1. | December 14, 2000 - Bear Stearns' predictions for telecom in Latin ,
In today's Daily Update you'll find free reports on
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allen-p/all_documents/10. | Bloomberg Power Lines Report ,
Here is today's copy of Bloomberg Power Lines. Adobe Acrobat Reader is
required to view the attached pdf file. You can download a free version
of Acrobat Reader at
http://www.adobe.com/products/acrobat/readstep.html
If you have trouble downloading the attached file it is also located at
http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/daily.pdf
Don't forget to check out the Bloomberg PowerMatch West Coast indices, the
most accurate indices anywhere. Index values are calculated from actual tra=
des
and can be audited by all PowerMatch customers.
Our aim is to bring you the most timely electricity market coverage in the
industry and we welcome your feedback on how we can improve the product=20
further.
Bloomberg Energy Department
12/13 Bloomberg Daily Power Report
Table
Bloomberg U.S. Regional Electricity Prices
($/MWh for 25-50 MWh pre-scheduled packages, excluding transmission=
=20
costs)
On-Peak
West Coast Index Change Low High
Mid-Columbia 362.50 -312.50 350.00 375.00
Ca-Or Border 452.50 -172.50 430.00 475.00
NP15 387.50 -206.25 325.00 450.00
SP15 307.50 -233.50 300.00 315.00
Ault Colorado 350.00 -125.00 300.00 315.00
Mead 335.00 -187.50 320.00 350.00
Palo Verde 336.25 -136.53 320.00 350.00
Four Corners 330.00 -182.50 325.00 335.00
Mid-Continent
ECAR 69.20 -22.71 63.00 75.86
East 75.00 -13.00 74.00 76.00
AEP 67.00 -25.50 59.00 75.00
West 68.00 -24.50 60.00 75.00
Central 67.90 -23.19 59.00 75.00
Cinergy 67.90 -23.19 59.00 75.00
South 70.25 -23.95 65.00 80.00
North 68.33 -25.67 65.00 75.00
Main 72.56 -19.78 62.50 87.50
Com-Ed 68.70 -21.37 60.00 75.00
Lower 76.43 -18.17 65.00 100.00
MAPP 99.92 -40.91 75.00 125.00
North 99.00 -37.67 75.00 125.00
Lower 100.83 -44.17 75.00 125.00
Gulf Coast
SPP 85.00 -18.50 80.00 92.50
Northern 88.00 -39.00 78.00 100.00
ERCOT 55.00 -40.00 50.00 60.00
SERC 77.04 -6.66 72.34 81.98
Va Power 66.00 +25.00 60.00 70.00
VACAR 67.50 -9.50 62.00 70.00
Into TVA 70.25 -23.95 65.00 80.00
Out of TVA 76.02 -24.61 69.41 84.87
Entergy 80.00 -30.80 75.00 85.00
Southern 90.00 +10.00 90.00 90.00
Fla/Ga Border 85.50 +4.50 81.00 90.00
FRCC 110.00 +65.00 110.00 110.00
East Coast
NEPOOL 90.50 +0.50 90.50 90.50
New York Zone J 91.00 +7.50 90.00 92.00
New York Zone G 74.50 +1.00 73.50 75.50
New York Zone A 68.83 +6.13 65.50 73.50
PJM 67.08 -12.75 62.00 76.00
East 67.08 -12.75 62.00 76.00
West 67.08 -12.75 62.00 76.00
Seller's Choice 66.58 -12.75 61.50 75.50
End Table
Western Power Prices Fall With Warmer Weather, Natural Gas Loss
Los Angeles, Dec. 13 (Bloomberg Energy) -- U.S. Western spot
power prices declined today from a combination of warmer weather
across the region and declining natural gas prices.
According to Belton, Missouri-based Weather Derivatives Inc.,
temperatures in the Pacific Northwest will average about 2 degrees
Fahrenheit above normal for the next seven days. In the Southwest
temperatures will be about 3.5 degree above normal.
At the California-Oregon Border, heavy load power fell
$172.00 from yesterday to $430.00-$475.00.
"What happened to all of this bitter cold weather we were
supposed to have,'' said one Northwest power marketer. Since the
weather is not as cold as expected prices are drastically lower."
Temperatures in Los Angeles today will peak at 66 degrees,
and are expected to rise to 74 degrees this weekend.
Natural gas to be delivered to the California Oregon from the
El Paso Pipeline traded between $20-$21, down $3 from yesterday.
"Gas prices are declining causing western daily power prices
to fall,'' said one Northwest power trader.
At the NP-15 delivery point heavy load power decreased
$206.25 from yesterday to $325.00-$450.00. Light load energy fell
to $200.00-$350.00, falling $175.00 from yesterday.
PSC of New Mexico's 498-megawatt San Juan Unit 4 coal plant
was shut down this morning for a tube leak. The unit is scheduled
to restart this weekend.
At the Four Corners located in New Mexico, power traded at
$325.00-$335.00 plunging $182.50 from yesterday.
-Robert Scalabrino
PJM Spot Power Prices Dip With Weather, Falling Natural Gas
Philadelphia, Dec. 13 (Bloomberg Energy) -- Peak next-day
power prices declined at the western hub of the Pennsylvania-New
Jersey-Maryland Interconnection amid warmer weather forecasts and
falling natural gas prices, traders said.
The Bloomberg index price for peak Thursday power at western
PJM declined an average of $12.75 a megawatt-hour, with trades
ranging from $62.00-$76.00.
Lexington, Massachusetts-based Weather Services Corp.
forecast tomorrow's high temperature in Philadelphia at 40 degrees
Fahrenheit, up 7 degrees from today's expected high. Temperatures
could climb as high as 42 degrees by Friday.
"Most of the day's activity took place in the early part of
the morning," said one PJM-based trader. "By options expiration
the market had pretty much dried up."
Traders said that falling natural gas prices were the main
reason for the decline in spot market prices.
Bloomberg figures show that spot natural gas delivered to the
New York City Gate declined an average of $1.25 per million
British thermal units to $8.60-$8.90 per million Btu. Since
Monday, delivered natural gas prices have declined an average of
$2.44 per million Btu, as revised 6-10 day weather forecasts
indicated reduced utility load requirements.
In New York, prices rose as utilities withheld supplies they
normally would have sold, fearing a sudden change in weather
forecast could force them into high-priced hourly markets.
Peak next-day power at the Zone A delivery point sold $6.13
higher at a Bloomberg index price of $70.33, amid trades in the
$67.00-$75.00 range. Power at Zone J sold $7.50 higher at $90.00-
$92.00.
~
-Karyn Rispoli
Mid-Continent Power Prices Drop on Revised Forecast, Gas Prices
Cincinnati, Dec. 13 (Bloomberg Energy) -- U.S. Mid-Continent
next-day peak power prices plunged as forecasts were revised
warmer and natural gas values continued to decline, traders said.
The Bloomberg index price for peak Thursday power on the
Cincinnati-based Cinergy Corp. transmission system dropped $23.19
to $67.90 a megawatt-hour, with trades ranging from $75.00 as the
market opened down to $59.00 after options expired.
In Mid-America Interconnected Network trading, peak power on
the Chicago-based Commonwealth Edison Co. grid sold $21.37 lower
on average at $60.00-$75.00, while power in lower MAIN sold $18.17
lower at $65.00-$100.00.
Belton, Missouri-based Weather Derivatives Inc. predicted
high temperatures would average 2 degrees Fahrenheit above normal
in Chicago and at normal levels in Cincinnati over the next seven
days, up from 6 and 4 degrees below normal Monday, respectively.
Traders said falling spot natural gas values also pulled
prices down. Natural gas prices were a large factor in recent
electricity market surges because of a heavy reliance on gas-fired
generation to meet increased weather-related demand.
Spot natural gas at the Cincinnati city gate sold an average
of 95 cents less than yesterday at $7.80-$8.30 per million British
thermal units. Spot gas at the Chicago city gate sold an average
of 80 cents less at $7.65-$8.15 per million Btu.
"The weather's moderating and gas is down, so you've got
people coming to their senses," one trader said. "These are much
more realistic prices."
Traders said prices could decline further tomorrow if the
outlook for weather continues to be mild. Peak Cinergy power for
delivery from Dec. 18-22 was offered at $60.00, down from $90.00
yesterday.
Mid-Continent Area Power Pool peak spot power prices plunged
with warmer weather forecasts and increased available transmission
capacity, selling $37.67 less in northern MAPP and $44.17 less in
southern MAPP at $75.00-$125.00.
"What's happening is the people who don't have firm
transmission are getting into the market early and buying at those
high prices since they have no choice," one MAPP trader said.
"Then you've got some people who were lucky enough to get a
firm path who waited until later in the morning when ComEd prices
fell off," he said, "and bought from them at those lower prices,
causing the huge gap between the day's high and low trade."
-Ken Fahnestock
Southeast U.S. Electricity Prices Slump After Mild Forecast
Atlanta, Georgia, Dec. 13 (Bloomberg Energy) -- Southeast
U.S. peak spot power prices slumped today after warmer weather was
forecast for the region this week, traders said.
Traders said Southeast utility demand has been reduced since
many large population centers like Atlanta will see temperatures
climb into the mid-50s Fahrenheit later this week.
"There was nothing going on in Florida today," said one
southern energy trader. "Everything was going to markets in the
north."
Traders said supply was being routed from Florida into
markets on the Entergy Corp. and the Tennessee Valley Authority
grid in the mid-$70s a megawatt-hour.
"Prices into TVA started in the $80s and $90s and crumbled as
forecasts came out," said on Entergy power trader. "Prices,
declined to $60 and less."
The Bloomberg into TVA index price fell an average of $23.95
to $70.25 amid trades in the $65.00-$80.00 range. Off-peak trades
were noted at $32.00, several dollars higher than recent
estimates.
Southeast power traders said revised 6-10 day weather
forecasts and lower temperatures for the balance of this week
caused prices to decline in the region.
In the Southwest Power Pool, traders said warmer weather was
the main culprit behind lower prices.
"The cold weather's backing off," said one SPP utility
trader. "It was minus 35 degrees with the wind chill yesterday and
today it's about 9 degrees with the wind chill. Yesterday, it was
bitter cold and today it was just plain cold."
Power sold in northern sections of SPP at $78-$100, though
the Bloomberg index sank an average of 39.00 to $88.00. Southern
SPP traded at $82.00, $2 more than yesterday.
-Brian Whary
U.K. Day-Ahead Electricity Prices Rise Amid Increased Demand
London, Dec. 13 (Bloomberg Energy) -- Electricity prices in
the U.K. rose today after falling temperatures were expected to
increase household consumption for space heating, traders said.
The day-ahead baseload Pool Purchase Price, calculated by the
Electricity Pool of England and Wales, rose 1.46 pounds to 20.01
pounds a megawatt-hour.
Temperatures across the U.K. were forecast to fall 6 degrees
to 4 degrees Celsius by the weekend, according to Weather Services
Corp. in the U.S.
Day-ahead Electricity Forward Agreements dealt at 19.7-20.15
pounds a megawatt-hour, 2.1 pounds higher than yesterday.
December continued to fall amid a combination of position
closing prior to its expiry and continued belief that demand will
not rise sufficiently to justify high winter prices, traders said.
December 2000 baseload EFAs traded at 17.9-18.05 pounds a
megawatt-hour, 40 pence below yesterday's last trade.
First quarter and its constituent months fell, in line with
expectations that mild forecasts into the new year would continue
to stifle demand, traders said.
January 2001 baseload EFAs dealt between 24.6-24.73 pounds a
megawatt-hour, falling 17 pence.
First quarter 2001 baseload EFAs traded at 21.6-21.7 pounds a
megawatt-hour, 10 pence below its previous close.
Season structures traded on the U.K. Power Exchange, summer
2001 baseload trading unchanged at 18.15 pounds a megawatt-hour.
Winter 2001 baseload dealt 5 pence higher at 21.75 pounds a
megawatt-hour.
Open positions on many short-term structures will likely
force many traders to deal actively on those contracts in the run-
up to Christmas, traders said. Adding that other structures will
probably remain illiquid until the new year, when demand can more
easily be assessed.
-Nick Livingstone
Nordic Electricity Prices Climb Following Cold Weather Forecast
Lysaker, Norway, Dec. 13 (Bloomberg Energy) -- Power prices
on the Nord Pool exchange in Lysaker, Norway, closed higher today
as colder weather forecasts sparked active trade, traders said.
Week 51 dealt between 145-152 Norwegian kroner a megawatt-
hour, 6.62 kroner above yesterday's closing trade on 1,076
megawatts of traded volume. Week 52 rose 6.25 kroner, with 446
megawatts dealt between 134.50-140.25 kroner a megawatt-hour.
Supply from hydro-producers was expected to recede after
forecasts indicated reduced precipitation over Scandinavia for
next week. These producers typically generate power to prevent
reservoirs from overflowing.
Consumption, currently unseasonably low, was expected to rise
with falling temperatures because of increased requirements for
space heating.
Traded volume on the power exchange increased in active
trading on the beginning of typical winter conditions, traders
said.
"The market's been waiting for this day for a long time," a
Stockholm-based trader said. "For too long, people have been
selling because winter hasn't lived up to expectations. We should
now see a noticeable increase in the spot price."
Temperatures in parts of Scandinavia were forecast to fall
below freezing to minus 5 degrees Celsius, with only limited
chances for rain during the 5-day outlook, according to Weather
Services Corp. in the U.S.
The day-ahead system average area price fell after demand was
expected to remain limited until next week, when forecasts predict
temperatures to begin falling.
Thursday's system area price fell 1.57 kroner, or 1.22
percent, to 126.43 kroner a megawatt-hour. Traded volume fell
4,134 megawatts to 295,414 megawatts.
Many dealers anticipate that the spot price will likely rise
by 10-15 kroner by the start of next week.
Winter 1, 2001 forward structures rose in line with shorter-
term contracts.
Winter 1, 2001 dealt at 136.75-138.5 kroner a megawatt-hour,
1.9 kroner below yesterday's last trade at 135.25 kroner a
megawatt-hour.
Also, the delayed restart at a Swedish nuclear unit, although
expected, will likely allow abundant supply from hydro-producers
to meet the increased demand, other traders said.
Vattenfall's Ringhals 1, an 835-megawatt nuclear reactor,
will delay its restart at least until week 52, the company said.
Today's rapid increase was likely induced by traders who used
today's news to gain momentum for future increases, traders said.
-Nick Livingstone
-0- (BES) Dec/13/2000 21:04 GMT
=0F$
- daily.pdf | (undisclosed-recipients) | 603 |
|
allen-p/all_documents/11. | Special report coming from NewsData ,
Our Sacramento correspondent just exited a news conference from
Gov. Davis, FERC chair Hoecker, DOE Sectretary Richardson and
others outlining several emergency measures, including west-wide
price cap. As soon as her report is filed, we'll be sending it to your
attention. I expect that will be around 2:30 pm. | 614 |
||
allen-p/all_documents/14. | New Notice from Transwestern Pipeline Co. ,
Transwestern Pipeline Co. posted new notice(s) since our last check at
12/13/2000 3:30:01 PM, the newest notice looks like:
Capacity Constraint, Dec 13 2000 4:03PM, Dec 14 2000 9:00AM, Dec 15 2000
8:59AM, 2241, Allocation - San Juan Lateral
Please click the following to go to the web site for detail.
http://ios.ets.enron.com/infoPostings/shared/et_noncritical_notice.asp?company
=60 | 645 |
||
allen-p/all_documents/15. | MARKET ALERT: Nasdaq Composite Ends Down 3.7% ,
__________________________________
MARKET ALERT
from The Wall Street Journal
December 13, 2000
The Nasdaq composite dropped 108.31, or 3.7%, to 2823.46 Wednesday as
investors turned their attention to earnings warnings. The market couldn't
sustain initial enthusiasm that the election drama was nearing a close, but
the Dow industrials finished up 26.17 at 10794.44.
FOR MORE INFORMATION, see:
http://interactive.wsj.com/pages/money.htm
TO CHECK YOUR PORTFOLIO, see:
http://interactive.wsj.com/pj/PortfolioDisplay.cgi
__________________________________
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Copyright 2000 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 656 |
||
allen-p/all_documents/157. | Re: (No Subject) ,
How is your racing going? What category are you up to?
I | 664 |
||
allen-p/all_documents/16. | Re: ,
Phillip -- Is the value axis on Sheet 2 of the "socalprices" spread sheet
supposed to be in $? If so, are they the right values (millions?) and where
did they come from? I can't relate them to the Sheet 1 spread sheet.
As I told Mike, we will file this out-of-time tomorrow as a supplement to our
comments today along with a cover letter. We have to fully understand the
charts and how they are constructed, and we ran out of time today. It's much
better to file an out-of-time supplement to timely comments than to file the
whole thing late, particuarly since this is apparently on such a fast track.
Thanks.
From: Phillip K Allen 12/13/2000 03:04 PM
To: Christi L Nicolay/HOU/ECT@ECT, James D Steffes/NA/Enron@ENRON, Jeff
Dasovich/NA/Enron@ENRON, Joe Hartsoe/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Mary Hain/HOU/ECT@ECT,
[email protected], [email protected], Richard B Sanders/HOU/ECT@ECT, Richard
Shapiro/NA/Enron@ENRON, Stephanie Miller/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Steven J
Kean/NA/Enron@ENRON, Susan J Mara/NA/Enron@ENRON, Rebecca W
Cantrell/HOU/ECT@ECT
cc:
Subject:
Attached are two files that illustrate the following:
As prices rose, supply increased and demand decreased. Now prices are
beginning to fall in response these market responses. | 667 |
||
allen-p/all_documents/17. | FS Van Kasper Initiates Coverage of NT ,
If you cannot read this email, please click here.
Earnings.com - NT Upgrade/Downgrade HistoryA:visited { color:000066;
}A:hover{ color:cc6600; }
Earnings.com [IMAGE]?
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Briefing
Analyst History - Nortel Networks Corporation (NT)
Date
Brokerage Firm
Action
Details
12/13/2000
FS Van Kasper
Coverage Initiated
at Buy
11/21/2000
Lazard Freres & Co.
Coverage Initiated
at Buy
11/06/2000
Unterberg Towbin
Downgraded
to Buy
from Strong Buy
11/02/2000
S G Cowen
Downgraded
to Buy
from Strong Buy
10/25/2000
Gerard Klauer Mattison
Upgraded
to Buy
from Outperform
10/25/2000
Lehman Brothers
Downgraded
to Outperform
from Buy
10/25/2000
Chase H&Q
Downgraded
to Buy
from Strong Buy
10/04/2000
Sands Brothers
Coverage Initiated
at Buy
10/03/2000
ING Barings
Coverage Initiated
at Strong Buy
09/28/2000
Sanford Bernstein
Downgraded
to Mkt Perform
from Outperform
09/26/2000
Josephthal and Co.
Coverage Initiated
at Buy
08/08/2000
DLJ
Coverage Initiated
at Buy
07/28/2000
A.G. Edwards
Upgraded
to Accumulate
from Maintain Position
07/27/2000
ABN AMRO
Upgraded
to Top Pick
from Buy
06/15/2000
Bear Stearns
Coverage Initiated
at Attractive
05/25/2000
Chase H&Q
Upgraded
to Strong Buy
from Buy
04/28/2000
First Union Capital
Coverage Initiated
at Strong Buy
04/03/2000
Dresdner Kleinwort Benson
Coverage Initiated
at Buy
03/21/2000
Wasserstein Perella
Coverage Initiated
at Hold
03/15/2000
Chase H&Q
Upgraded
to Buy
from Market Perform
Briefing.com is the leading Internet provider of live market analysis for
U.S. Stock, U.S. Bond and world FX market participants.
, 1999-2000 Earnings.com, Inc., All rights reserved
about us | contact us | webmaster |site map
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Click Here if you would like to change your email alert settings. | 678 |
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allen-p/all_documents/18. | Re: ,
Phillip:
I have a meeting tomorrow morning with the Oregon PUC staff to discuss a
number of pricing and supply issues. Can I use the information attached to
your e-mail in the meeting with staff?
Paul
To: Christi L Nicolay/HOU/ECT@ECT, James D Steffes/NA/Enron@ENRON, Jeff
Dasovich/NA/Enron@ENRON, Joe Hartsoe/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Mary Hain/HOU/ECT@ECT,
[email protected], [email protected], Richard B Sanders/HOU/ECT@ECT, Richard
Shapiro/NA/Enron@ENRON, Stephanie Miller/Corp/Enron@ENRON, Steven J
Kean/NA/Enron@ENRON, Susan J Mara/NA/Enron@ENRON, Rebecca W
Cantrell/HOU/ECT@ECT
cc:
Subject:
Attached are two files that illustrate the following:
As prices rose, supply increased and demand decreased. Now prices are
beginning to fall in response these market responses. | 689 |